Japan Could Become Extinct in 1,000 Years

Beset by aging population and low birth rates, Japan is facing a slow-moving crisis: researchers calculated that it could become extinct in 1,000 years!

Academics in the northern city of Sendai said that Japan's population of children aged up to 14, which now stands at 16.6 million, is shrinking at the rate of one every 100 seconds.

Their extrapolations pointed to a Japan with no children left within a millennium.

"If the rate of decline continues, we will be able to celebrate the Children's Day public holiday on May 5, 3011 as there will be one child," said Hiroshi Yoshida, an economics professor at Tohoku University.

"But 100 seconds later there will be no children left," he said. "The overall trend is towards extinction, which started in 1975 when Japan's fertility rate fell below two."


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Utter Nonsense! If the rate of decline continues for the next 1000 years?!? This study assumes nothing will ever change? What madman wrote this and what's their agenda?
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Mathematicians probably wrote it and they don't give a crap about reality. I can see how that is technically the math of it, but Zen's right. That isn't what is ACTUALLY going to happen.
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There is a saying among statisticians. "Beware the permanent trend."

This person has taken a couple of dots on a trend line and extended those out as if the trend itself has no causes or contributing factors that can ever change.

When I was in high school, I had no job. In college, I got a job that paid about $100/wk. If I connect those two points and extend them to today, I should be making a bazillion dollars a week.
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