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What's a Better Predictor of Achievement than Intelligence, Grades, or Personality?

The answer is hope.

That's right: a study led by Psychologist Alex Wood of University of Manchester has revealed that hope trumps general intelligence, personality and even previous academic achievement in predicting success:

A 3-year longitudinal study explored whether the two-dimensional model of trait hope predicted degree scores after considering intelligence, personality, and previous academic achievement.

A sample of 129 respondents (52 males, 77 females) completed measures of trait hope, general intelligence, the five factor model of personality, divergent thinking, as well as objective measures of their academic performance before university (‘A’ level grades) and final degree scores.

The findings suggest that hope uniquely predicts objective academic achievement above intelligence, personality, and previous academic achievement.

Link to study [PDF] - via Barking up the wrong tree

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In my experience the ability to see things that others can't ie holes in the market counts for a lot and then the ability to find decent staff to assist in that vision. And of course, self belief in that vision and yourself.

Note: No I am not one of those sorts of people.
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