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Most People Die Within 3 Months of Their Birthdays



Did you know that most people die within three months of the anniversary of their births? It may seem counterintuitive to you, but the mathematical explanation makes perfect sense:

Part of the answer depends on how strictly and specifically you wish to interpret the question. Counting three months (or ninety days) to the minute of a person’s birthdate will of course give a relatively narrow window, though most people (including Browne) probably begin counting from the target person’s month of birth. This allows for three months before the birth, the month of the birth, and three months after the birth, for seven out of twelve months. Since this range covers well over half the year (in fact, just under 60 percent of it), the chances are somewhat better than 50/50 that a given person will die within three months of his/her birthday …

Link - via J-Walk


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Posted on January 1, 2008 at 6:24 am by Alex
Category: 1 Other Neat Things



7 comments to "Most People Die Within 3 Months of Their Birthdays"

  • Andrew
    January 1st, 2008 at 2:18 pm

    Breaking News! 100% of people die within 6 months of their birthday! Birthdays should be abolished!

  • Nathan
    January 1st, 2008 at 2:38 pm

    Andrew, not 100% Some people are born on Leap Day.

  • MoonCake
    January 1st, 2008 at 3:49 pm

    it’s just like the car crash statistic… ‘they’ say that car accidents occur within a 5 mile radius of the home. considering the majority of people work and/or commute within a 5 mile radius of their home, the statistic comes to no surprise.

  • Jerse
    January 1st, 2008 at 3:53 pm

    Nathan, I don’t like your logic on that one.

  • Alex
    January 1st, 2008 at 3:56 pm

    Well, the point of the story was how mathematical reality is different from what most people intuitively infer.

  • Sid Morrison
    January 2nd, 2008 at 8:37 am

    Oh my goodness, what idiot would be amazed that people have a 50% chance of dying within half the year?

    Just goes to show you how ignorant and mathematically incompetent folk are today. No wonder so many con artists take up scamming people for a living — there are a lot of fools out there…

  • Orjans Morjan
    January 2nd, 2008 at 4:09 pm

    Congratulations, you have just understood why you can never trust statistics!

    Remember this next time you watch TV reports on what candidate you should vote for. Or when you read things on the internet.


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