Al Denelsbeck's Liked Comments

"No kill animal shelters are wonderful,"

No, they're not. There are a huge number of problems with the concept, up to and including the serious behavioral and health problems that can occur with holding an animal for extended periods of time in a poor environment, not to mention the openly-promoted idea that "kill" shelters are doing it wrong. The gut distaste over killing an animal can, unfortunately, lead to numerous responses that are far more damaging because people think that the 'ultimate' response is to be avoided at all costs.

Five years! In what - kennels, with a fluctuating level of bonding and care? With how much activity? With what kind of food? Is such an animal even going to be able to be housebroken? Take a look at the studies of long-term kenneling on animals and tell me this is a good idea.

Here's the grim reality: there aren't enough homes for them all - even if everyone adopted a dozen animals, over and above what they have right now. This will not change until responsible pet ownership is a hell of a lot more prevalent throughout the population - that means no unwanted litters, that means no breeding programs for designer or fad animals, that means no concept of disposable animals because they didn't work out (or the owner hadn't the faintest idea how to care for them.) That's a big cultural change, and it's not going to happen overnight. And it's not going to happen as long as a large percentage of people can alleviate their guilt and their impatience with an animal by taking it to the "no-kill" shelter and everything's hunky-dory - nothing can possibly go wrong, sunshine and lollipops.

I did a study, about a decade ago, on no-kill shelters. Bottom line: they don't exist - not as any municipality whatsoever that could take in all of the stray and unwanted animals in their jurisdiction. Such so-called shelters can only survive by being very specific about which animals they accept, and a surprising number of them take their sick, problem, and chronically unadoptable animals to the nearest "kill" shelter, making them technically capable of saying, "We didn't do it!" One actually shipped its overflow numbers of animals over three-hundred miles to another shelter on Long Island, to take advantage of the greater population in that area (and the fact that that area also had its share of "kill" shelters.) As I said, this was a decade ago - maybe, some municipality, some county, has made this business plan work in the interim - but I can tell you directly, it's not a viable option for the majority of the country, if not most countries around the world.

[I was also responsible for animal cruelty investigations in this facet of my life, and investigated countless "foster" homes and a couple of hoarding situations, courtesy of "no-kill" thinking that led to animals living in utter filth, rampant disease, and developing irreconcilable behavioral problems because nobody was on their game enough to ensure that any standards were maintained. Was that better, somehow? I'm perfectly willing to tell you it was far worse.]

If you don't like euthanasia, fine, good, you're human - I'm not suggesting you change this. But there's the effort of finding solutions, and then there's the concept of thinking the problem will go away if ignored. Sometimes you have to let the thinking brain override the emotions.
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Many years ago, I took the opportunity to go for an aerobatics flight in an open cockpit Stearman biplane at North Carolina's Outer Banks. Gorgeous day, flying out over Roanoke Sound to a position directly over Jockey's Ridge State Park, a few kilometers south of Kitty Hawk. Absolutely amazing experience - loops, hammerhead stalls, wingovers, the works, all looking down on the giant dune and the people learning how to hangglide far below. Pulled positive three gees and negative one (that's where the straps flew up in the video.) Coolest experience of my life, and I'd do it again in a second.
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Macs are far more expensive than comparably equipped PCs, less expandable, less adaptable, with fewer software options. They are made for people with no computer knowledge who believe the marketing hype. They are also excellent at incurring ridiculous costs for peripherals and replacement parts (look at the price of replacing the power supply/chargers and batteries, as a guideline.)

For school use, weight is the very first issue - lugging around even two extra pounds is noticeable. Next comes battery life, then internal storage. Then comes Microsoft Office, since everything is done in Office formats. An external backup drive (and the habit to use it at least every month, but every week is optimal) is important. Anything else might be nice, but not necessary for school. Also note that a cheap computer is cheaper to replace when, for instance, it is knocked off the desk or serves as a crashpad when skateboarding, and less likely to be stolen.
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Nope, the paradox does not exist, nor does it exist for most of the others. The error is in multiplying probabilities inconsistently.

Notice how, in the boy/girl version, the latter two choices suddenly introduces the older/younger sister issue. This is a red herring. You can have an older or younger sibling, and you can have a male or female sibling. These remain separate and have no bearing on one another, nor is age mentioned as a factor in the question - it only asks about boy or girl. However, if you insist on this age thing, then there is an additional possibility not mentioned: not just two boys as they say, but an older brother or a younger brother, adding another option and once again balancing back to 50%.

It's also extremely simple: a 50/50 chance is not modified by any other factors, as most people rightfully believe. Nor does it change with repetition, as many people get wrong - while repeated coin tosses will increase the probability of getting a certain result among the total, no one toss changes from 50/50.

The coin example from PlasmaGryphon (and many others) includes a similar mistake. The choices are listed as TT, TH, HT, and HH - but this only holds true if you have assigned a particular coin to each position. Otherwise, TH and HT are the same thing. Now, if you've accepted this concept, you cannot arbitrarily choose which coin counts as the 'official' heads. If it is the first coin, then the first two choices are obviously ruled out, since the first coin in both of those is tails - what remains is still heads or tails for the second coin.
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It's probably not half as close as it appears here. The perspective and telephoto compression can be wildly misleading, but the UTair lane was still roughly 8 seconds or so from touchdown, probably not even over the overrun threshold yet, and another several seconds after touchdown before it crossed the taxiway the Aerolineas plane was on - that translates to a fairly signifcant separation.

While it's not clear why the Aerolineas pilot did not stop at the hold-short before the runway, this is a simple go-around, and happens on occasion. It is entirely possible the Aerolineas plane would have cleared the active before the UTair plane passed through, but pilots know to abort the landing in such circumstances - had the Aerolineas plane halted mid-runway there would be no way to avoid it once a certain amount of airspeed had been shed.
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It's funny - I suspect many found the show more cathartic than crass. It showed the Allies as being clever, always on top, while the Germans lacked the ability to control them and were silly to boot. The public had had two decades to digest the events of WWII; the shock had long faded, but the frustration hadn't.

The show never mocked the abuse of prisoners - indeed, never dealt with it at all - and never displayed any vestige of antisemitism or racial superiority. Not every POW facility was a concentration or death camp, and the conditions shown in the show were not all that farfetched.

There are always those who say that humor or satire should not extend to some topic or another - it shows disrespect, it makes people fail to treat the topic seriously, et cetera. Yet it's not as if anyone ever got their impression of Nazi Germany from Hogan's Heroes - there's plenty of real information out there. Even children can watch TV and know they're seeing fiction.
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Profile for Al Denelsbeck

  • Member Since 2014/05/06


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